Thu, 15 Oct 2026
Addis Ababa and Asmara are edging closer to a direct conflict, which would cause further mayhem in the troubled Horn of Africa and the Red Sea basin. It is not too late to avert disaster.
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 10am Washington, DC | 4pm Brussels | 5pm Tel Aviv Please register here if you would like to attend this online event.
Talks between Morocco and the pro-independence Polisario Front over Western Sahara have hit a wall, with U.S. and UN representatives pushing for Rabat’s autonomy plan as the centrepiece of negotiations. If they are to broker a compromise, the mediators will have to slow down.
In this episode of Hold Your Fire! , Richard is joined by Crisis Group’s Horn of Africa director, Alan Boswell, to discuss the fighting in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, the risk of direct war between Ethiopia and Eritrea and what may prevent further escalation.
وصلت المحادثات بين المغرب وجبهة البوليساريو المطالِبة بالاستقلال بشأن الصحراء الغربية إلى طريق مسدود، في وقت يدفع فيه ممثلو الولايات المتحدة والأمم المتحدة باتجاه اعتماد خطة الرباط للحكم الذاتي كركيزة أساسية للمفاوضات. إذا كان الوسطاء يرغبون بالتوصل إلى تسوية توفيقية، سيتعين عليهم إبطاء وتيرة تحركهم.
Hostilities between Cambodia and Thailand ceased in late 2025, after two rounds of combat along the frontier. But the truce is under growing strain. To avoid more war, the two countries should restore normal diplomatic ties and resume work on demarcating their shared border.
On Our Radar scans conflicts and crises around the globe every week and features some of the hotspots Crisis Group’s analysts are closely watching. Whether an under-reported trend or a headline-grabbing development, our field experts explain why it matters or what should be done.
A mutiny by Niger’s special forces in late August morphed into a coup attempt. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain how the unrest exposed growing discontent within the military’s ranks.
Conflicts in the Middle East and the Horn of Africa Have Become Inseparable
Oil, gas and fuel prices are central to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, with Washington striving to lower them and Tehran to keep them high. With both sides determined to prevail, five market-shaping developments in particular could affect whether fighting ramps up or de-escalates.
Crisis Group expert Daniel Akech examines how President Kiir’s call for fresh elections aims to weaken his opponents, and may pave the way to worsening armed conflict
