Israel's strategy in Gaza is only keeping Hamas in power: deterred, but not replaced, with no real alternative given a chance. A different outcome calls for a different approach.
The UAE built its power by turning itself into a hub that binds it to every great power at once. The war with Iran has tested this strategy and is forcing a rethink in Abu Dhabi
Martin TenevEuropean Power, Middle East and North Africa, Reorder, Iran, United Arab Emirates, Cinzia Bianco, Policy Brief
Yemen's Houthi rebels are in a position to shape the next phase of the conflict between the United States and Iran if they attempt to renew their blockade of the Bab al-Mandab Strait. And no one should assume that a deal with Iran will bind what the Houthis do next.
This article is the result of a collaboration with The Sunday Times. You can find their corresponding piece here. Sign up here to receive Bellingcat’s biggest investigations by email as soon as they are published. Christy Kinahan, the Irish founder of the Kinahan Organised Crime Group who is being pursued by authorities around the world […] The post Christy Kinahan’s UAE Residence Visa Cancelled appeared first on bellingcat .
Financial Investigations TeamEurope, Investigations, Middle East, Drug Cartels, Kinahan
Canada’s enthusiasm for closer EU ties is real, and so is the EU’s need for allies beyond America. But as long as the EU’s offer of “associate membership” to Canada remains undefined, it risks ending up as empty symbolism
At a federal technology summit earlier this year, a senior Pentagon official described a moment his office was proud of. Facing a congressional reporting deadline, and with a workforce hollowed […]
Carter Price, a mathematician at RAND and co-director of the RAND Von Furstenberg Family Budget Model Initiative, discusses ways to rebalance the tax code so that it doesn't incentivize employers to replace humans with AI.
Welcome back to Five Questions for a General, a production of the Modern War Institute at West Point. This series features specially selected cadet hosts who are given an incredible professional development […]
Sign up here to receive Bellingcat’s biggest investigations by email as soon as they are published. WARNING: This report contains links to graphic images and footage. A joint Bellingcat and Jeune Afrique investigation into drone strikes carried out by the Malian military adds new details about the attacks which frequently are carried out in civilian areas and have […] The post “A Recurring Pattern”: Civilians Paying the Price in Mali’s Drone Campaign appeared first on bellingcat .
Sebastian VandermeerschAfrica, Investigations, Drones, Geolocation, Mali
Turkey is neither drifting away from the West nor is it coming home. It has become an embedded outsider: a middle power that has learned to build strategic autonomy from inside the Western system rather than by leaving it.
Martin TenevEuropean Power, Reorder, Europe, NATO, Turkey, Aslı Aydıntaşbaş, Evren Balta, Policy Brief
Since World War II, the US Army has built its combined arms approach around the complementary employment of armor, infantry, artillery, and engineers. That foundation remains sound. Yet contemporary conflicts […]
Commentary & Analysis, bryan.j.bonnema, moises.jimenez
Interwar periods are inherently challenging for militaries, who must balance lessons from previous wars with emergent technologies and tactics being tested in observable wars. Much of future warfighting is being […]
Xi Jinping’s attendance at the BRICS summit in New Delhi underlines the recent normalisation in Sino-Indian relations. This should encourage the EU to speed up its efforts to deepen ties with India
ECFR CommsAsia, China, India, Policy Alert, James Crabtree
The race for US midterms reveals a rapidly changing Democratic party. Europeans must understand and engage its three camps well before the party could take power
Martin TenevUnited States, US Domestic Politics, Célia Belin, Chris Herrmann, Nevada Joan Lee, Policy Brief
Guess what? Bellingcat is finally launching an official merch line! That’s right: after years of fantasizing and wishing, we’re finally ready to get our name and logo on cool merch that you’ll be able to show off. We’re working with a high quality, sustainable merchandising company to make all kinds of cool swag: coffee cups, […] The post Bellingcat Official Merch Design Contest appeared first on bellingcat .
The modern battlefield is becoming more lethal and fast-moving, while the proliferation of sensors makes concealment increasingly difficult. Persistent sensing, precision-strike weapons, autonomous systems, and increasingly capable enemy artificial intelligence […]
ECFR founding member and co-chair emerita Emma Bonino has died at the age of 78. A towering figure in European foreign policy, she was an inspiration to millions across the continent. She left a deep mark on European and Italian politics, and on ECFR
Martin TenevECFR Council, Europe, Obituary, View from the Council, Mabel van Oranje, Mark Leonard
In recent years, women made up almost half of all new gun owners, a striking shift from the historical norm, when women accounted for about a quarter of them. And the uptick is widespread across geographic and demographic subgroups.