Thu, 15 Oct 2026
Addis Ababa and Asmara are edging closer to a direct conflict, which would cause further mayhem in the troubled Horn of Africa and the Red Sea basin. It is not too late to avert disaster.
Talks between Morocco and the pro-independence Polisario Front over Western Sahara have hit a wall, with U.S. and UN representatives pushing for Rabat’s autonomy plan as the centrepiece of negotiations. If they are to broker a compromise, the mediators will have to slow down.
In this episode of Hold Your Fire! , Richard is joined by Crisis Group’s Horn of Africa director, Alan Boswell, to discuss the fighting in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, the risk of direct war between Ethiopia and Eritrea and what may prevent further escalation.
وصلت المحادثات بين المغرب وجبهة البوليساريو المطالِبة بالاستقلال بشأن الصحراء الغربية إلى طريق مسدود، في وقت يدفع فيه ممثلو الولايات المتحدة والأمم المتحدة باتجاه اعتماد خطة الرباط للحكم الذاتي كركيزة أساسية للمفاوضات. إذا كان الوسطاء يرغبون بالتوصل إلى تسوية توفيقية، سيتعين عليهم إبطاء وتيرة تحركهم.
On Our Radar scans conflicts and crises around the globe every week and features some of the hotspots Crisis Group’s analysts are closely watching. Whether an under-reported trend or a headline-grabbing development, our field experts explain why it matters or what should be done.
A mutiny by Niger’s special forces in late August morphed into a coup attempt. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain how the unrest exposed growing discontent within the military’s ranks.
Conflicts in the Middle East and the Horn of Africa Have Become Inseparable
In this episode of The Horn , Alan speaks with Yousra Elbagir, Sky News’s Africa correspondent, about her reporting from inside Sudan’s war, including around El Obeid and El Fasher, how Sudanese are surviving the war and how the war could end.
This week on Hold Your Fire! , Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s Africa director Murithi Mutiga about renewed fighting in northern Ethiopia, how the conflict could unfold, the risks of regional escalation and whether diplomacy can still stop the slide into all-out war.
Crisis Group expert Daniel Akech examines how President Kiir’s call for fresh elections aims to weaken his opponents, and may pave the way to worsening armed conflict
