Thu, 15 Oct 2026
Addis Ababa and Asmara are edging closer to a direct conflict, which would cause further mayhem in the troubled Horn of Africa and the Red Sea basin. It is not too late to avert disaster.
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 10am Washington, DC | 4pm Brussels | 5pm Tel Aviv Please register here if you would like to attend this online event.
Talks between Morocco and the pro-independence Polisario Front over Western Sahara have hit a wall, with U.S. and UN representatives pushing for Rabat’s autonomy plan as the centrepiece of negotiations. If they are to broker a compromise, the mediators will have to slow down.
In this episode of Hold Your Fire! , Richard is joined by Crisis Group’s Horn of Africa director, Alan Boswell, to discuss the fighting in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, the risk of direct war between Ethiopia and Eritrea and what may prevent further escalation.
وصلت المحادثات بين المغرب وجبهة البوليساريو المطالِبة بالاستقلال بشأن الصحراء الغربية إلى طريق مسدود، في وقت يدفع فيه ممثلو الولايات المتحدة والأمم المتحدة باتجاه اعتماد خطة الرباط للحكم الذاتي كركيزة أساسية للمفاوضات. إذا كان الوسطاء يرغبون بالتوصل إلى تسوية توفيقية، سيتعين عليهم إبطاء وتيرة تحركهم.
Hostilities between Cambodia and Thailand ceased in late 2025, after two rounds of combat along the frontier. But the truce is under growing strain. To avoid more war, the two countries should restore normal diplomatic ties and resume work on demarcating their shared border.
On Our Radar scans conflicts and crises around the globe every week and features some of the hotspots Crisis Group’s analysts are closely watching. Whether an under-reported trend or a headline-grabbing development, our field experts explain why it matters or what should be done.
A mutiny by Niger’s special forces in late August morphed into a coup attempt. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain how the unrest exposed growing discontent within the military’s ranks.
Crisis Group expert Thomas Kean examines why the Myanmar military’s faltering counteroffensive and escalating air attacks have further dimmed prospects for a ceasefire in Rakhine State.
Conflicts in the Middle East and the Horn of Africa Have Become Inseparable
Oil, gas and fuel prices are central to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, with Washington striving to lower them and Tehran to keep them high. With both sides determined to prevail, five market-shaping developments in particular could affect whether fighting ramps up or de-escalates.
In this episode of The Horn , Alan speaks with Yousra Elbagir, Sky News’s Africa correspondent, about her reporting from inside Sudan’s war, including around El Obeid and El Fasher, how Sudanese are surviving the war and how the war could end.
The coming withdrawal of U.S.-led coalition forces marks a significant moment in Iraq’s tumultuous recent history. Yet with the Middle East war bringing conflict to the country and questions surrounding the state’s capacity to assert its authority, the significance is mainly symbolic.
يمثل الانسحاب الوشيك لقوات التحالف الذي تقوده الولايات المتحدة لحظة مهمة في تاريخ العراق الحديث المضطرب. لكن مع جرّ حرب الشرق الأوسط البلاد إلى الصراع والأسئلة المحيطة بقدرة الدولة على فرض سلطتها، فإن هذه الأهمية لا تعدو كونها رمزية.
This week on Hold Your Fire! , Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s Africa director Murithi Mutiga about renewed fighting in northern Ethiopia, how the conflict could unfold, the risks of regional escalation and whether diplomacy can still stop the slide into all-out war.
Crisis Group expert Daniel Akech examines how President Kiir’s call for fresh elections aims to weaken his opponents, and may pave the way to worsening armed conflict
